The Head of State has already mentioned several times the scenario of a dissolution of the National Assembly in the event of a blockage in Parliament. A scenario that is criticized even in the presidential camp.
Dissolve the National Assembly? Emmanuel Macron has the scenario in mind. For a long time already. Even before his re-election in April, the possibility of using this prerogative of the head of state had touched the presidential camp. The idea, suggested by a few relatives, including the one who was still president of the National Assembly, Richard Ferrand, was then to pronounce the dissolution of the latter the day after the second round, obliging to bring the dates of the presidential and legislative elections closer together, separated by more than a month and a half. Thus, the re-elected Head of State would, they thought, have taken advantage of the "breath effect" of the presidential election by guaranteeing himself a comfortable majority in the Assembly.
Out of overconfidence, perhaps, or out of fear of giving the impression of using the institutions for political “tambouilles”, this scenario was finally dismissed by Emmanuel Macron.
Seven months later, no one can say whether his prudence at the time was beneficial. The dissolution of the National Assembly is still in the air. More than ever. Now having a majority relative to the Palais-Bourbon, Emmanuel Macron knows that he can be induced, sooner or later, to resort to it. Willingly or forcibly. In the event of a blockage in Parliament, if a motion of censure were to be adopted, the government would be overthrown and the Head of State could, in the process, retaliate by declaring dissolution.
“Returning to the polls can be a path,” acknowledged Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne, on the margins of a trip to Portugal at the end of October. “Matignon… we know when it starts, but we never know when it will end,” she said in an interview at Paris Match on 3 November.